Saturday, February 13, 2021

The clouds return

 

 Today the United States Senate voted that Donald Trump did not do what he very visibly and obviously did between late October 2020 and early January 2021; betray his oath of office as President to faithfully execute the law and support and defend the Constitution of the United States.

To me this has the feel of the point in watching one of those historical dramatizations where the characters have come to a decision you know is going to end badly. The conspirators have chosen to go ahead with the plot that you know will end in betrayals, prosecutions, hangings, and beheadings. The commander has made a decision you know is based on bad intelligence, or is because of his hubris or pure stubbornness, that will result in the deaths of thousands of his own troops.

It was years ago that I wrote a whole series of posts comparing my nation today with the Rome of classical times, noting that we seem insistent on repeating many of the same foolish mistakes the Romans of that period did, and with much the same likely result - the end of functional democracy and the establishment of permanent minority rule.

I've been pretty merciless in castigating American "conservatives" (who are, by the way, in no sense "conservative" but are radical reactionaries) for being the driving force behind this and, as this vote shows, they still are.

(What this also proves, in a way I didn't begin to anticipate before the past year, is the extent to which the GOP has become the American Party of KimIlSungism-KimJongIlism. Turns out that we aren't even dignified with the bad examples of Rome. We're fucking North Korea with Pizza Huts and Chevy dealerships.)

So.

Now what?

When I talked about how impossible it is to "talk" to Republicans now it turns out that it's not because they're some sort of rigid ideologues. As far as I can tell the current Republican orthodoxy consists of a bizarre farrago of culture-war nonsense ("cancel culture", "wokeism", anti-"nanny state"-ism, and "personal freedom" that seems to largely consist of violent rejection of common sense like reducing stupid firearm-related behavior and public health precautions during a pandemic) with pure delusion about finance (stuff like "trickle-down economics", the Laffer Curve, taxation-as-theft...that sort of thing).

But the real break-point appears to be that the GOP is now the Party of Kim Trump Q, a personality cult, overrun with bizarre conspiracies and paranoia, devoted to owning the libs even if the cost is its own misery and impoverishment.

There's no hope there.

But what about the rest of the US political world?

The Democratic Party - the only remaining party that the US has allowed itself - has been a willing accomplice in our neo-Roman imperial foolishness. It has either acquiesced, or encouraged, the increasing inequity of wealth in our return to the Gilded Age.

It has been willing to go along with the hollowing out of the American economy, shoving millions of people into precarious "gig" jobs and helped "business" to close out by downsizing, automating, and offshoring the sort of living-wage/good-benefit/stable-pension jobs that helped create the white middle class after WW2. 

It has blinked at, or encouraged, foolish imperial wars.

It has been unwilling or unable to challenge our headlong plunge towards the Late Holocene Thermal Maximum.

But - given today's proof that the entire GOP has gone full juche and the utter desolation of actual sane political ideas in the American Right - if there IS to be a hope of avoiding a collapse-of-the-Republic-fate it will have to come from what passes for the "Left" in US politics.

Can it? And, if so, how?

So that's what we're going to talk about after this.

But you'll have to give me a moment or two. Right now I'm too depressed at what today says about the State of our Union.

9 comments:

Ael said...

I am very pleased today.

It looks very much like the "standard" political consensus no longer exists.

Certainly the Republican party looks like it will shatter.
And the Democratic party has a boatload of internal stresses as well.

I hope that the coming fracture and re-alignment of political forces / factions will bring greater focus on the voters and rather less on the donors. As we have seen, the internet has made it much harder for established power brokers to control messaging. Think of these Q-anon and other conspiracies as the snake oil/ hula hoop crazes of the 21st century.

Interesting times.

FDChief said...

We're going to begin discussing all of this next week, but the tl:dr version I'm going to lay out is:
1) Yes, I think the "standard" of partisan politics in the US is broken,
2) No. The GQP will become a seething furball of lunacy, grievance, and hatred,
3) The Democrats will be confronted by the reality that you cannot actually govern a democratic Republic with 30% of the electorate a nutball circus of angry lunatics.

What I THINK will happen is that the process will largely grind to a halt. The big money will get what it wants, because the big money doesn't actually depend on governance; it's power exists OUTSIDE governance and the power of the public only exists through government limitations on plutocratic power.

Therefore the continued slide towards plutocracy and oligarchy will continue, as the forces of public good are increasingly sidelined and the public, because we've been trained to see politics as a zero-sum game, will blame those forces for not being able to beat back the plutocrats. And, instead, the lunacy and hatred will spread, as the angry white people increasingly blame the "liberals" and the dusky-hued others for the vise that the oligarchs have their balls in.

But, like I said; we'll talk about that in depth coming up.

Stormcrow said...

FDChief, I completely agree with (1) and (3) above.



But I'm not so sure about (2).



I'm sure you recall the howls of anguish of the NeverTrumpers back in
2016. I noticed with some interest, at the time, that some of them,
notably including George Will, very publicly left the Party.



And a couple of days ago, I saw this: Former
Republican officials consider splitting from GOP to form new party
.



Only time will tell where this will go. Given the extreme turbulence
within American politics and very specifically the Republican Party,
I'm certainly not going to attempt to make any
predictions.



But the fusion of Trump's incompetent version of populist Fascism with
the Republican Party has put it under a worse strain than anything I
can recall.



The 7 Senators who voted to convict day before yesterday are already in
hot water with their constituencies, as I'm sure they calculated they
would be. But they did it anyway.



I'm reasonably sure that conscience and considerations of the national
interest had nothing to do with their decision.
Anybody thinking along those lines left the Party a decade ago or more.
But something did. If I had to make a guess, it'd
be that they estimate that the mainstream of the Republican Party, as
it exists in 2020, is not a sustainable political entity.

Stormcrow said...

Sorry about the formatting, which is clearly world-class ugly. The problem with commenting on Blogger is that you're "firing at targets you can't see", so to speak. I'm still figuring out what the range is.

FDChief said...

Unfortunately, I think the GQP is going to be forced to become the Party of Trump Jong Q. That IS going to become the "mainstream" of the Republican Party.

I'll get further into detail as to why that will be this coming week.

Don Francisco said...

It'll be interesting to hear your thoughts Chief. If you want a laugh I tell you from across the pond, we envy that the US has at least stopped things getting immediately much worse (for now).

The brains of the elderly/right in the UK have been so successfully melted to a Peter-Finch-in-Network type state by our right wing press that they'd vote for more of the same anyway. More wrecking-incompetence, endless culture war distractions from the consequences of lies and incompetence. It's less racist and given to gaffs than it's US counterpart, but the objective is the same - moat & castle for the super rich, spite and poverty for the poor.

In constructive moments I think, we should suggest small policy improvements to e.g. repairing our relationship with Europe (which a large chunk of our economy relies on and has been set on fire by the right out of spite). Maybe that's the way to rebuild, by being patient and reasonable.

Then I catch myself. 75% of the UK press is run by some of the world's worst people and prints lies daily - less laughable than Fox but lies nonetheless. Peace love & understanding would actively undermine their commerciality, you set yourself up as reasonable, squads of reporters will tearing through your bins and social media looking for dirt.

How to achieve change when a huge chunk of your population have had their brains wiped?

FDChief said...

Thing is, we have much the same problem, and it's getting...not really better. Here's a perfect example; the farrago over someone named Gina Carasco getting dumped by Disney.

She is, so far as I can tell, a perfectly median right-wing nut, and had been shitposting all sorts of bog-standard rightwing-nut stuff on her social media; COVID-hoax, anti-vaxx/anti-mask, Stop-the-Steal, all sorts of the usual "people we hate" (trans, Black, libs).

Recently, though, she put up this thing where she claimed that being a wingnut meant that you got cancel-cultured just like Jews got gassed at Birkenau.

So...Disney, that had been planning to feature her in an upcoming show, retracted the offer. So the usual wingnuts are screaming.

First, let's all agree that her statement was a problem for a corporate entity. It wasn't just a slam-dunk violation of Godwin's Law, the whole “taking shit for saying that some people are subhuman scum and repeating toxic lies that ended in a failed insurrection are JUST like being murdered in a genocidal nightmare!” is not JUST a grossly egotistical and provocative lie, it’s really, REALLY stupid. As in “we’d just as soon not be associated with this degree of toxic stupidity”.

If it was a coworker it would be shouting “I can whip any of you pussies anytime, come at me, soyboys!” in a sketchy dive bar and you’d be edging away from it just as fast.

No. The problem is the reaction to her getting canned is "the libs are the REAL Nazis!" thing.

(con't)

FDChief said...

See, Carano (sorry; Carano, no Carasco) is pretty solidly mainstream GOP...which means, at this point, "GQP", so full of this sort of whacko Democrats-are-comie-Nazis stuff, and how anytime anyone gets pissed off when they show their whole "not okay with multiracial democracy" ass THOSE people are the "real racists" and it just feeds their whole persecution complex.

So the GQP is, by definition, plutocratic, quasi-fascist (or, at least, an authoritarian cult of Trumpersonality), racist, anti-democratic, and conspiracy-theorist (i.e. lies and more lies). So if that becomes (and it pretty much is already) "mainstream" Republicanism, then simply being "Republican" is going to be racist, fascist or fash-adjacent, and pretty much revolting to anyone not there - that is, the rest of the public who don't actually want those things. And any organization that's willing to go in on them will be tarred with the same brush.

So any attempt to uphold any sort of norms of democracy, equity, political respect, and truth will be seen by Csrano and her ilk as an open assault on America, God, Jesus, the flag, motherhood, capitalism, and just decency in general where oppressed Christian patriots are herded into FEMA trailers by black helicopters and eventually gassed in the showers.

To prevent what they see as that happening, it's not enough to have their own fora to spout their views - the "others" MUST be shut down. It's not enough to elect Republicans - the "others" MUST be destroyed, because anyone not a Republican is Evil.

I loathed the Republican Party of Reagan because of it's stupidity. Believing that tax cuts raised revenue is, well...stupid. It never worked and never will.

But THIS Republican Party? Christ, it's a freakshow. It's like that whackadoodle who commented on the "Talk to the Hand" post; there's utterly no sense to it. I have no fucking idea how the hell you can talk it into any sort of governance, any more than your Little Englanders insisting on racial purity and "market solutions" as they piss away their hope for a comfortable old age amid a viable British state. They're rather rule in Hell than serve in Heaven (or on Earth) and I have no fucking idea how the hell you deal with that.

Don Francisco said...

Thanks Chief - I hope you haven't lost a post you planned in responding!

I'll keep my powder dry until your next post.